[
  {
    "id": "CIV-R013-F01",
    "headline": "Seven studied route incarnations closed",
    "claim": "Within Civita's named 18-route panel, six closure events have high-confidence support and one has medium-confidence, post-hoc official support between 2016 and July 2026.",
    "value": 7,
    "unit": "documented closure events: 6 high confidence, 1 medium confidence",
    "denominator": "18 named route families; events counted by studied route incarnation",
    "event_ids": [
      "CW-hungary-2017-02",
      "CW-cyprus-2020-02",
      "CW-uk-2022-02",
      "CW-montenegro-2022-02",
      "CW-ireland-2023-02",
      "CW-spain-2025-02",
      "CW-malta-2025-03"
    ],
    "source_ids": [
      "S001",
      "S002",
      "S004",
      "S005",
      "S006",
      "S010",
      "S037"
    ],
    "chart_table": "chart-01-documented-closures.csv",
    "limitation": "This is a purposive panel, not the global market. Hungary later introduced a distinct successor route. Montenegro's first-unavailable date is inferred as 1 January 2023 from post-hoc official evidence that the program operated through 31 December 2022. The count does not mean seven jurisdictions became permanently unavailable.",
    "approval_state": "publisher_authorized_for_public_release"
  },
  {
    "id": "CIV-R013-F02",
    "headline": "Türkiye shows why repricing is not one-way",
    "claim": "The real-estate threshold fell 75% from USD 1,000,000 to USD 250,000 in 2018, then rose 60% to USD 400,000 in 2022. The 2022 threshold remained 60% below launch.",
    "value": {
      "2017_to_2018_pct": -75.0,
      "2018_to_2022_pct": 60.0,
      "2017_to_2022_pct": -60.0
    },
    "unit": "nominal program-denominated USD qualifying-threshold change",
    "denominator": "same Türkiye real-estate qualifying option",
    "event_ids": [
      "CW-turkey-2017-01",
      "CW-turkey-2018-02",
      "CW-turkey-2022-03"
    ],
    "source_ids": [
      "S014",
      "S015",
      "S016",
      "S063"
    ],
    "chart_table": "chart-02-turkiye-property-threshold.csv",
    "limitation": "The USD 1 million launch threshold is medium-confidence retrospective official guidance rather than the captured 2017 amending regulation. Thresholds are not total applicant cost and say nothing about asset value, approval probability or processing time.",
    "approval_state": "publisher_authorized_for_public_release"
  },
  {
    "id": "CIV-R013-F03",
    "headline": "Half the apparent repricings survived the comparison test",
    "claim": "Of 8 core-panel rows classified as repricing after source review, 4 qualified as matched observations under the report's effective-date, continuity and evidence rules.",
    "value": 4,
    "unit": "matched repricing observations",
    "denominator": "8 source-reviewed repricing rows",
    "event_ids": [
      "CW-antigua-2024-03",
      "CW-ireland-2017-reprice",
      "CW-turkey-2018-02",
      "CW-turkey-2022-03"
    ],
    "source_ids": [
      "S014",
      "S015",
      "S016",
      "S021",
      "S022",
      "S028",
      "S042",
      "S052",
      "S057",
      "S060",
      "S063"
    ],
    "chart_table": "chart-06-repricing-eligibility.csv",
    "limitation": "This is an audit result for the report's eight candidate repricing rows, not the share of all investment-migration prices that can be compared.",
    "approval_state": "publisher_authorized_for_public_release"
  },
  {
    "id": "CIV-R013-F04",
    "headline": "Passport access changed without a program price change",
    "claim": "The evidence records three stages in the EU's withdrawal of Vanuatu visa-free access and a 2026 UK visit-visa requirement for Saint Lucia.",
    "value": 4,
    "unit": "nationality-wide access events",
    "denominator": "Vanuatu and Saint Lucia access appendix",
    "event_ids": [
      "CW-vanuatu-2022-02",
      "CW-vanuatu-2023-03",
      "CW-vanuatu-2025-04",
      "CW-st-lucia-2026-03"
    ],
    "source_ids": [
      "S031",
      "S032",
      "S033",
      "S058"
    ],
    "chart_table": "chart-03-nationality-wide-access.csv",
    "limitation": "Each measure applies to nationals generally, not only people who acquired citizenship through investment.",
    "approval_state": "publisher_authorized_for_public_release"
  },
  {
    "id": "CIV-R013-A01",
    "headline": "Italy's HNW flat-tax election tripled",
    "claim": "Italy's annual new-resident flat-tax amount rose from EUR 100,000 to EUR 300,000 between 2017 and 2026, a 200% increase.",
    "value": 200.0,
    "unit": "nominal annual election amount change",
    "denominator": "Italy Article 24-bis HNW mobility-policy appendix",
    "event_ids": [
      "CW-italy-tax-2017-01",
      "CW-italy-tax-2024-02",
      "CW-italy-tax-2026-03"
    ],
    "source_ids": [
      "S018",
      "S019",
      "S048"
    ],
    "chart_table": "chart-04-italy-flat-tax-appendix.csv",
    "limitation": "This is a recurring tax election, not an investment-migration qualifying threshold, and is excluded from every core-panel count.",
    "approval_state": "publisher_authorized_for_public_release"
  }
]