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The Closing Window · 2016-2026

Watch a decade of doors close.

Every major repricing, closure, and clampdown in investment migration since 2016, on one timeline. Prices ratchet up, routes vanish overnight, and the map keeps shrinking. Scrub the decade, or press play.

Figures verified July 2026 Methodology Cite this 19 landmark programs tracked

+100%

The cheapest credible passport: $100k in 2016, $200k in 2026

6

Major routes closed since 2020: Cyprus, UK, Montenegro, Ireland, Spain, Malta

2x

Portugal's wait to citizenship: 5 years became 10 in 2026

Sales sites show you today's brochure. The record shows a market that reprices against waiting.

Civita takes no commission from any program, so we can publish the part the industry prefers to skip: the closures, the downgrades, and what hesitation has historically cost.

The timeline

2026

201620182020202220242026
Your budget:

12

Routes open

$200k

Cheapest passport with Schengen access

12

Open at your budget

6

Routes closed

This year

  • 🇵🇹Portugal: Citizenship wait doubles: 5 years becomes 10 (7 for EU and CPLP nationals)
  • 🇮🇹Italy: Raised again to EUR 300,000 from 1 January 2026: tripled in 17 months
  • 🇹🇷Türkiye: Mandatory state valuation now decides whether your property qualifies
  • 🇰🇳St Kitts & Nevis: Genuine-link overhaul phases in structured presence expectations
  • 🇱🇨St Lucia: Lost UK visa-free access on 5 March 2026
  • 🇺🇸United States: Grandfathering closes 30 September 2026; thresholds index up in January 2027

🇬🇧

United Kingdom

Tier 1 Investor Visa

Closed

£2,000,000

Closed with immediate effect on 17 February 2022, amid a security review

🇨🇾

Cyprus

Citizenship by Investment

Closed

€2,000,000

Suspended November 2020 after the Al Jazeera undercover investigation

🇲🇪

Montenegro

Citizenship by Investment

Closed

€350,000+

Wound down December 2022 under EU accession pressure

🇮🇪

Ireland

Immigrant Investor Programme

Closed

€1,000,000

Closed February 2023, effectively overnight

🇲🇹

Malta

Citizenship for Investment (IIP / MEIN)

Closed

€600,000+

Struck down by the EU Court of Justice, 29 April 2025 (Case C-181/23)

🇵🇹

Portugal

Golden Visa (ARI)

Open, degraded

€250,000+

started at €500,000

Citizenship wait doubles: 5 years becomes 10 (7 for EU and CPLP nationals)

🇬🇷

Greece

Golden Visa

Open, repriced

€250,000+

started at €250,000

Tiered up: EUR 800,000 in prime areas, EUR 400,000 most others; EUR 250,000 survives only for conversions

🇮🇹

Italy

New-resident flat tax · Tax regime

Open, repriced

€300,000/yr

started at €100,000/yr

Raised again to EUR 300,000 from 1 January 2026: tripled in 17 months

🇹🇷

Türkiye

Citizenship by Investment

Open, tightened

$400,000

started at $1,000,000

Mandatory state valuation now decides whether your property qualifies

🇰🇳

St Kitts & Nevis

Citizenship by Investment

Open, tightened

$250,000

Genuine-link overhaul phases in structured presence expectations

🇩🇲

Dominica

Citizenship by Investment

Open, repriced

$200,000

started at $100,000

Doubled to USD 200,000 under the regional minimum

🇦🇬

Antigua & Barbuda

Citizenship by Investment

Open, repriced

$230,000

started at $200,000

Raised to USD 230,000

🇬🇩

Grenada

Citizenship by Investment

Open, repriced

$235,000

started at $200,000

Raised to USD 235,000 under the regional reset

🇱🇨

St Lucia

Citizenship by Investment

Open, degraded

$240,000

started at $100,000

Lost UK visa-free access on 5 March 2026

🇻🇺

Vanuatu

Development Support Program

Open, degraded

$130,000

Schengen access fully revoked

🇺🇸

United States

EB-5 Investor Green Card

Open, tightened

$800,000

started at $500,000

Grandfathering closes 30 September 2026; thresholds index up in January 2027

🇦🇪

UAE

Golden Visa

Open, repriced

AED 2M

started at AED 10M

Property route set at AED 2,000,000 (about USD 545,000): a rare price cut

🇭🇺

Hungary

Investor Residency

Reopened

€250,000

started at €300,000

Reopened July 2024 as the Guest Investor Program, EUR 250,000

Headline minimum for a single applicant at the time, before fees and dependents. USD figures are approximate conversions used for comparison. Current figures match our program pages, verified July 2026. This shows the market; it does not know your passport, family, or tax position.

What the decade teaches

Four rules the record keeps proving

01

Prices ratchet.

The decade's only real discounts, Türkiye's cut to $250,000 and Antigua's to $100,000, were both reversed and overshot. The 2024 Caribbean floor then locked the bottom at $200,000. Down moves are bait; the trend is one-way.

02

Closures come fast.

The UK closed its investor visa the day it announced. Ireland gave days. Spain gave three months. If a route matters to your plan, the announcement usually is the deadline.

03

The product degrades even when the price holds.

Vanuatu kept its price and lost Schengen. St Lucia kept its price and lost the UK. What you are buying is access, and access is decided in Brussels, London, and Washington, not in the brochure.

04

Time is repricing too.

Portugal doubled the wait to citizenship. St Kitts is adding presence expectations. EB-5's protective window closes in September 2026. The cheap decade was also the fast decade, and both are ending together.

What might move next: read the 2026 At-Risk Watchlist.

What this timeline cannot tell you

  • Which routes accept your nationality, and which quietly do not
  • The real all-in cost for your family size, not the headline minimum
  • Your tax exposure before and after the move
  • How your source of funds will hold up in due diligence
  • Which of today's open windows is likely to move first, against your timeline

That is the work we sell, and the reason this tool is free.

The window moves. Move first.

Every price on this page was once next quarter's rumor. A Program-Fit Report ($149) maps which routes are open to your passport, budget, and family today, and flags the ones most likely to move next. A Strategy Session ($750) turns it into a plan with dates.

Not ready? Run the free Eligibility Finder first.

Methodology

How this timeline is built

Each figure is the headline minimum qualifying contribution or investment for a single applicant at the time, excluding government fees, due diligence, and dependents. Dates are anchored to the announcement or effective date of each change. USD conversions are approximate and used only to compare across currencies. Current figures are the same ones published on our program pages, where each carries its official sources, and were last verified July 2026. Historical milestones are matters of public record: statutes, gazettes, court rulings, and official program communications. The linked analyses on each card carry the sourcing for the decade's major turns.

Cite this

The Civita Closing Window: Investment Migration Repricing Timeline 2016-2026, citizenships.io/closing-window. Free to cite and reference with a link.

Questions

The short answers

Why do golden visa and citizenship-by-investment prices keep rising?
Three forces: regional price floors (the 2024 Caribbean agreement set a US$200,000 minimum), EU and US pressure that rewards fewer and better-vetted applicants, and governments repricing scarce access as demand grows. In this dataset, every price cut since 2016 was later reversed and overshot.
Which golden visa and citizenship programs have closed?
Since 2020: Cyprus (2020), the UK Tier 1 Investor visa (2022), Montenegro (2022), Ireland (2023), Spain (2025), and Malta's citizenship route, struck down by the EU Court of Justice in April 2025. Hungary closed in 2017 and reopened in 2024 as a smaller program, the decade's only reopening.
What is the cheapest citizenship by investment in 2026?
About US$200,000: Dominica's donation route, with Antigua, Grenada, St Lucia, and St Kitts between US$230,000 and US$250,000 for a single applicant before fees. Vanuatu is cheaper at US$130,000 but lost EU visa-free access, which is most of what buyers were paying for.
Will golden visa prices come back down?
The record says no. The decade's two big cuts, Türkiye to US$250,000 and Antigua to US$100,000, were both later reversed and exceeded. Floors, regulation, and scarcity all push one way. Waiting for a discount has been the most expensive strategy of the decade.

Deeper reading: the cheapest CBI, with the real fees and the real cost of a golden visa.

The Brief

Know when the next door moves.

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